Webcrumbs from November 10, 2024. See all of 2024.
It’s another prediction market
Anyone know if there is a prediction market analysis/intelligence newsletter?
The world sucks but we don’t tell the future generations that right away.
Life is short, though I keep this from my children.
"Yeah, this feels right.
Kate Manne’s newsletter
An article that suggests extending prediction markets beyond just elections.
info finance
"Prediction markets are a source of information that may or may not represent some truth about the state of the world including the future state.
Beware Campbell’s law or maybe Goodhart’s law.
Didn’t they used to be for more than just elections? I remember the 2000s. Maybe there is some critical mass necessary. I don’t recommend jumping to this conclusion.
Starch and cream cheese are secret ingredients?
I’m curious.
Negotiation anecdote and article recommendation.
Don’t set a range and recruiters want to hire.
Molly White’s recommended follows.
Her Bsky, which I am now also following.